Does drinking cause you to become a man?

26 Jan, 2022 at 19:16 | Posted in Statistics & Econometrics | 2 Comments

Breaking news! Using advanced multiple nonlinear regression models similar to those in recent news stories on alcohol and dairy and more than 3.6M observations from 1997 through 2012, I have found that drinking more causes people to turn into men!

Across people drinking 0-7 drinks per day, each drink per day causes the drinker’s probability of being a man to increase by 10.02 percentage points (z=302.2, p<0.0001). Need I say, profound implications for public health policy follow. The Lancet here I come!


Chris Auld

Econometric identification sure is difficult …

Great tweet!


  1. Spurious correlations. 🙂

  2. Of course this was the kind of stuff Darrell Huff wrote about in his book How to lie with statistics from 1954,

    I think one of his examples was about the relation over time between the incomes of presbyterian pastors in New England and the price of rhum in Havana. Obviously the pastors had made a lot of profits from the sales…

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