The “private sector” and economic growth (tongue in cheek)

25 July, 2012 at 09:22 | Posted in Economics | 2 Comments

Economic growth has since long interested economists. Not least, the question of which factors are behind high growth rates has been in focus. The factors usually pointed at are mainly economic, social and political variables. In an interesting study from the University of Helsinki, Tatu Westling has expanded the potential causal variables to also include biological and sexual variables. In the report Male Organ and Economic Growth: Does Size Matter (2011), he has – based on the “cross-country” data of Mankiw et al (1992) and Summers and Heston (1988), Polity IV Project data of political regime types and a new data on average penis size in 76 non-oil producing countries (www.everyoneweb.com/worldpenissize) – been able to show that the level and growth of GDP per capita between 1960 and 1985 varies with penis size. Replicating Westling’s study (I have used my favourite program, Gretl) we obtain the following two charts:

The Solow-based model estimates show that the maximum GDP is achieved with the penis of about 13.5 cm and that the male reproductive organ (OLS without control variables) are negatively correlated with – and able to “explain” 20% of the variation in – GDP growth.

Even with reservation for problems such as “endogeneity” and “confounders” one can not but agree with Westling’s final assessment that “the ‘male organ hypothesis’ is worth pursuing in future research” and that it “clearly seems that the ‘private sector’ deserves more credit for economic development than is typically acknowledged.” Or?

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  1. Very funny, if slightly off color, but as the science fiction writer Isaac Asimov once described an extremely off-color limerick, “clever enough to be told in mixed company”. I suspect that one of the quicker ways to get disbarred from mainstream economics is to show a sense of humor. My tongue in cheek effort, ‘Republicans are Planning to Cook your Grandchildren’ at http://somewhatlogically.com/?p=649 is about the “Global Cooking ” problem and the American relationship between the Tea Party Republicans and mainstream economics and the physics of growth, the latter being wonderfully described by American physicist Tom Murphy (links in the article.)

    The title is deliberately incendiary (bad pun) and admittedly totally unfair because many of our Democratic legislators seem equally proud of the profundity of their ignorance. However, what is clear is the fact that far too much of modern economic policy is based on assumptions of exponential growth, and regardless of whether one looks at thermodynamic or resource limits to growth, such factors should not be ignored by economists who wish to provide sound advice on policy.

    JRHulls

    e:mail me if you want the Asimov limerick…

  2. Touché! Underscores why I have never been a fan of Freakonomics nonsense.


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